[Focus] Robot Demand Urgently Localizes Millions of Speed ​​Reducers

The robot industry chain is broadly divided into upstream key components, midstream system integration, and downstream applications. In all core components, the reducer is the most critical. Therefore, for the development of the robot robot industry in China, the localization of precision reducers is imminent and is a major issue in the future development strategy.

At present, China's industrial robots, the three core component controllers, servo motors, and reducers are the major bottlenecks restricting the Chinese robotics industry, accounting for 70% of the robot's cost. Of these three, domestic reducers have been highly monopolized by foreign manufacturers, and domestic reducers that are still in the popular stage at this stage cannot achieve full import substitution.

The top priority of the robotics industry

Reducer, also called "robot joint", is a core transmission component of high-end automation equipment represented by industrial robots. On the road to the rise of domestic robots, the industrialization and automation of speed reducers are very important.

The robot industry chain is broadly divided into upstream key components, midstream system integration, and downstream applications. In all core components, the reducer is the most critical. Planetary speed reducers, RV precision cycloid speed reducers, and harmonic speed reducers are the current mainstream speed reducers for robots. However, domestic precision machining of key components cannot be fully guaranteed, and mass production cannot yet be established. Currently, it can only rely heavily on imports. Serious constraints on the market demand for autonomy. Therefore, providing precision and speed-reducing components with large scale and reliable performance is the most important task for industrialization and autonomy of robotics in China. The localization of precision reducers is imminent and is a big issue in the future development strategy.

Domestic demand will exceed 1 million units in 2016

The robot industry is currently the most watched industry. Precision reducer is the most important functional component in industrial robots. It has always been known as the “joint” of industrial robots and is a crucial application link in the industrial chain of robots.

At present, the price of reducer is on the downward trend. Since the joint venture between Nabtesco and Shanghai Mechatronics Co., Ltd., with the increase of production capacity of domestic robots in China and the development of domestic robots, the price of RV reducers has gradually declined. Coupled with the commissioning of the Changzhou plant in 2016, it is expected that there will be further room for price drop.

Therefore, if we want to make a breakthrough in the development of the reducer market in China, we need to pay more patience and investment. According to industry forecasts, from 2016 to 2018, the new demand for reducers for industrial robots in China will reach 294,000 sets, 365,000 sets and 463,000 sets in turn. In addition, for industrial robots held in the domestic market, which are calculated for a typical service life of 8 to 10 years, the market demand for precision speed reducers will exceed 1 million units in the future, and the annual market sales will exceed 10 billion yuan.

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