According to the IEK ITIS project of the ITRI for the second half of the semiconductor industry's industry outlook assessment, in the second half of 2009, the global semiconductor industry was affected by the national government’s economic stimulus program, resulting in a significant growth in global semiconductor sales compared to the first half of 2009. By the first half of 2010, the pace of global economic recovery was better than expected, coupled with insufficient production capacity, which also made sales performance brighter in the first half of the year. However, due to the high base period, the annual growth rate in the third quarter was estimated. The quarterly growth rate will be lower than in the past few quarters.
However, IEK also emphasized that although the strength of industry growth will slow down, but the supply of wafer foundry and packaging and testing capacity will continue to continue, which can be confirmed by the domestic semiconductor manufacturers have announced a substantial increase in capital expenditure (see attached table) .
Regarding the performance of semiconductor sub-industries, according to the IEK study, as the Taiwan IC design industry has gradually entered the cycle of steady growth, the third and fourth quarter will remain the traditional peak season. It is estimated that the output value of Taiwan's IC design industry in 2010 Q3 can reach 1,375 Billion yuan, a quarter growth of 15%. It is expected that in the future driven by demand from PCs, NBs, LCD TVs, and mobile phones, the total output value of Taiwan's IC design industry will reach NT$503.2 billion in 2010, an increase of 30.4% year-on-year, an increase far exceeding that of 2009. 2.9%.
In the IC manufacturing sector, since the base period in the first half of 2010 was already high, and since the third quarter of last year, the output value of the Q3 Taiwan IC manufacturing industry had reached 229 billion yuan. 5.2%, expected in the future driven by the demand for terminal 3C products, Taiwan's IC manufacturing industry in 2010 will reach an output value of 869.8 billion yuan, annual growth is still 50.8%.
In the IC packaging and testing industry, it is estimated that the Q3 packaging and testing industry will enter the traditional peak season, but the base period in the first half of the year has been boosted, and the packaging and testing industry revenue will grow by only 5% and 6.2% respectively over Q2. The output value of the packaging and testing industry reached 289.6 billion yuan and 130.6 billion yuan respectively, which grew to 45.1% and 49.1% respectively.
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