The reporter was informed that since the first half of the year, local five-point growth in power consumption exceeded the five points of energy consumption in the local society. Individuals even exceeded several tens of percentage points. The National Bureau of Statistics thus deliberately implemented a new energy statistics program. The growth rate of electricity consumption in all provinces and cities, if it exceeds the growth rate of energy consumption by 5 percentage points, the provinces and cities will be automatically positioned to increase energy consumption per million yuan of GDP.
After the release of GDP data in the third quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics and local governments are jointly reviewing the energy figures of each place, and particularly drawing data from different regions. Therefore, whether the new energy consumption growth rate can be lower than the growth rate of electricity consumption by 5 percentage points becomes a matter of life and death that determines whether the energy consumption per unit of GDP will decline.
Many local governments believe that the standard is too strict, not only disrupting the original progress of energy conservation, but also implementing new oversight. Some provinces and municipalities have imposed electricity restrictions and even affected residents.
Xue Jing, director of the Statistics Department of the China Electricity Council, pointed out that in the past, the energy consumption figures were generally lower than the electricity consumption of the entire society by 3-4 percentage points. According to the statistics bureau’s plan, once the local society’s electricity consumption is faster than the energy consumption by 5 percentage points, It is certain that the energy consumption per unit of GDP rises.
Since the beginning of this year, the country’s electricity consumption has rapidly increased. In the first half of the year, the total social power consumption reached 2009 billion kwh, which was a year-on-year increase of 21.6%. Some provinces and cities have rapidly increased their electricity consumption, and the growth rate has even reached as high as 25-60%, but local reported unit GDP. Instead, energy consumption is decreasing.
This has led to the National Bureau of Statistics’s alertness against local energy-saving statistics. “We dare not say that the local authorities are really falsified, but at least the data do not match. How is the rapid increase in electricity consumption per unit of GDP, but the energy consumption per unit of GDP is declining?†said one person in the statistics department.
Contradictions between production capacity and electricity consumption According to figures released by the China Electricity Council and the National Energy Administration, the total social electricity consumption and industrial electricity consumption in September all fell sharply.
In the same month, the electricity consumption of the entire society was 349.8 billion kilowatt-hours, which was a decrease of 47.6 billion kwh from the previous month, a drop of 12%; the electricity consumption of the second industry was 244.5 billion kwh, a drop of 43.3 billion kwh from the previous month, a record of 11 years. Monthly electricity consumption in the single month has fallen to a new low; the monthly electricity consumption of heavy industry was 193.9 billion kilowatt hours, a decrease of 17.3% compared with the previous month.
Wang Siqiang, deputy director general of the National Energy Administration, believes that in September each year when electricity consumption falls seasonally, it also dropped by about 6% last year. The sharp fall in this year is mainly due to the fact that the absolute value of the fallback in the secondary industry accounted for 91% of the absolute value of the decline in electricity consumption in the entire society. Excluding seasonal factors, the increase in electricity consumption in heavy industry during the month was already lower than that in light industry, indicating that the economic structure was further optimized.
However, due to the fact that the output of industrial products in September has not seen much decline, and the speed of industrial growth is still accelerating after removing the base of last year, the actual electricity consumption in September may not have fallen to the above-mentioned range. When the China Iron and Steel Association recently conducted a map survey on local iron and steel production, it discovered that in some localities, iron and steel enterprises restricted their production to flow in the form, and during the day's limited production period, they accelerated production, and the government limited companies continued to produce electricity on their own.
Zhang Daikun, a joint metal wire industry analyst, also believes that because many steel plants have their own power production, the actual capacity decline is not very fast.
Data show that in September the country's crude steel production was 51.64 million tons, only a drop of more than 2.8 million tons from the previous month. At this rate, total production declined by about 10 million tons from September to December, less than half of the agency's projected output reduction.
In addition, the output of the high-energy-consuming industries in September announced by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicates that almost no reduction in production was found in the 10 non-ferrous industries, and the production of cement, automobiles, ferro-alloys, coke, and flat glass increased from August. The growth rate of cement reached 15.8% over the same period of last year, and the growth rate of flat glass production also reached 6.8%.
With regard to the rapid decline in industrial electricity consumption and the use of electricity in the entire society, there has been no significant drop in industrial products, and even a sharp increase in the number of contradictions. The industry's explanation is that many companies have not included statistics for their own standby power.
One electric power industry expert pointed out that in enterprises above designated size, self-provided electricity can be self-reported to the statistics bureau. As long as it is included in the network, it can be counted. However, off-grid self-provided electricity cannot be included in the electricity consumption of the entire society. "Because of the need to generate electricity for power generation, at the end of the year, this part of self-provided electricity statistics can be reflected in refined oil consumption."
There are indeed many companies that generate electricity from their own motors. Zhou Dewen, president of the Wenzhou SME Development Association, discovered that many private enterprises in Wenzhou had to adopt self-provided electricity to speed up production in order to complete orders. As the number of self-generating companies has increased, diesel has also begun to become tense, and many companies have had to purchase more expensive bargaining oil.
At present, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Hebei, Guangxi and other places, because of the difficulty of completing energy-saving tasks, have adopted measures to control the total amount of electricity used by enterprises, and even some residents in the area are also affected.
Data deviation?
The fundamental reason for the local power saving data since the first half of this year is that the measures taken to limit electricity in various places have led companies to generate electricity by themselves, and this has led to a reduction or conversion of power statistics.
In the first half of this year, the energy consumption per unit of GDP in each region fell relatively quickly, or the rate of decline was not large. However, it was strange that the power consumption per unit of GDP per unit of GDP was rising and it was increasing rapidly. This caused the National Bureau of Statistics to worry about "distortion" of local statistics.
"According to reason, the decline in energy consumption per unit of GDP, and the decline in power consumption per unit of GDP, should be consistent with the trend, and now many provinces are the opposite, even if it is not a data fraud, but there are problems with the data." An expert in the statistics department said .
It is reported that in the first half of this year, the growth rate of electricity consumption in the whole society reached 21.6%. The growth rate in the first three quarters of this year was more than 18%. Since the country’s economic growth during the first half of the first half of the year and the first three quarters were both not less than 12%, the country’s GDP per unit of electricity consumption has been rising since the beginning of the year, as has been the case across the country. The country also confirmed that energy consumption per unit of GDP rose in the first half of this year, rising by approximately 0.09%.
However, the local situation is not the same. Many provinces increase the electricity consumption of the entire society, and the energy consumption rate is actually lower than GDP, making the energy consumption per unit of GDP decrease. For example, Inner Mongolia, Henan, Shanxi, Chongqing, Hunan, Hebei, Gansu and other places, the whole society's electricity consumption rose between 20 and 40%, but the energy consumption per unit of GDP decreased by 1 to 4% year-on-year.
For this reason, the National Bureau of Statistics issued a document requesting that if the increase in the total amount of electricity used by local governments and the whole society exceeds the growth rate of energy consumption of the entire society by 5 percentage points, the country will directly determine the increase in energy consumption per 10,000 yuan of GDP in the region. This also caused a shock in almost all provinces. According to this standard, the above five provinces and cities should be judged as the increase in energy consumption per unit of GDP, rather than the decline announced.
However, the growth rate of electricity consumption in some provinces and cities is far faster than the growth rate of energy consumption, which does not lead to an increase in energy consumption per unit of GDP, nor does it necessarily mean that data is fraudulent. Xue Jing, director of the China Electricity Council’s Statistics Department, told reporters that the country’s entire society’s electricity consumption accounts for about 40% of the country’s primary energy consumption and does not account for a major proportion of energy. At the same time, in some provinces, electricity consumption accounts for a small proportion of total energy consumption. When the growth rate of electricity consumption is fast, the total energy consumption is slow, resulting in a decline in energy intensity is not impossible.
"The key is to look at specific provinces. In some provinces, coal consumption is large and the proportion of electricity consumption is small. In fact, energy consumption in these provinces is too fast, and environmental problems may be more prominent." Xue Jing said.
In fact, this mismatch between power consumption and energy consumption has been noticed in many places. Ling Yun, deputy director of the Zhejiang Provincial Economic and Information Commission, pointed out that in the first half of this year, the total social power consumption grew by 20.6%, which was 8.9 percentage points higher than the GDP growth rate. This not only led to a high growth rate of 10.6% of the province's total energy consumption, but also led to the unit GDP power consumption. Rose 8.0%. "The rapid growth in electricity use has become the most prominent contradiction in energy conservation and consumption reduction."
The vigilance of the energy-saving and combat-strengthening authorities for the reduction of local emission reductions or the rapid rise in energy consumption has not been reduced.
In the first three quarters of this year, significant progress was made in the energy conservation of major energy-intensive industries. For example, from January to September, the sum of the electricity consumption of the four major industries of chemical industry, building materials, black smelting, and non-ferrous metal smelting in the major industries accounted for 32.5% of the total electricity consumption in the society, which was lower than the proportion of 33.3% in the first five months. In September, the proportion fell to 31.4%.
However, Zhu Hongren, spokesperson of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, pointed out that despite the fact that the energy consumption of the high energy-consuming industries in the third quarter has been substantially controlled, “but the current situation of energy conservation and emission reduction cannot be taken lightlyâ€.
The fourth quarter of each year is when industrial energy consumption grows rapidly. “If the industrial energy consumption is not controlled, it will have an adverse effect on the task of completing the annual energy saving and emission reduction.â€
Local governments also place more emphasis on energy conservation. Lu Zhongqing, deputy director of the Electric Power Department of the Anhui Economic and Information Commission, told reporters that although Anhui will not curb power for all companies, it will implement power curtailment for high-energy-consuming industries in the fourth quarter. The purpose of this is to ensure that the "Eleventh Five-Year" energy-saving targets can be completed in the last three months of the fourth quarter.
Previously, according to the new electricity statistics requirements issued by the National Bureau of Statistics, Anhui estimates that the total electricity consumption of the entire society needs to be regulated in the fourth quarter, so that the total consumption of electricity for the entire year will be controlled at about 107.4 billion kWh. The year-on-year growth rate was within 13%. Since the total social power consumption in Anhui Province has increased by more than 18% from January to August this year, the pressure for energy saving has not been lightened.
Sichuan Province recently held a special working meeting on energy conservation and proposed to strictly control the growth of total electricity use, especially to limit the excessive growth of industrial electricity consumption. Strictly control the new high energy-consuming projects, and temporarily suspend production from the October of the highly-energy-consuming industrial projects that have been completed but have not yet been put into production. The provincial power companies and local grid enterprises at all levels have suspended power supply.
Wang Ning, vice governor of Sichuan Province, pointed out that this year is the year for the completion of the “Eleventh Five-Year†energy-saving and consumption-reduction target task. The energy-saving and consumption-reduction target task is a hard constraint, there is no room for bargaining, “the next biggest determination, the largest With the greatest efforts, we will make the greatest efforts to form a joint force, and we will make every effort to fight the energy-saving battles in the fourth quarter. We will unswervingly complete the energy-saving target mission and implement all energy-saving measures without hesitation."
Ye Qing, deputy director of the Hubei Bureau of Statistics, told reporters that the current national measures to use electricity to support energy conservation have achieved good results in energy conservation and emission reduction. The next step is how to turn this measure into a long-term mechanism for energy saving and emission reduction. Otherwise, By next year, local energy and the entire society will use electricity to speed up and will make a comeback.
After the release of GDP data in the third quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics and local governments are jointly reviewing the energy figures of each place, and particularly drawing data from different regions. Therefore, whether the new energy consumption growth rate can be lower than the growth rate of electricity consumption by 5 percentage points becomes a matter of life and death that determines whether the energy consumption per unit of GDP will decline.
Many local governments believe that the standard is too strict, not only disrupting the original progress of energy conservation, but also implementing new oversight. Some provinces and municipalities have imposed electricity restrictions and even affected residents.
Xue Jing, director of the Statistics Department of the China Electricity Council, pointed out that in the past, the energy consumption figures were generally lower than the electricity consumption of the entire society by 3-4 percentage points. According to the statistics bureau’s plan, once the local society’s electricity consumption is faster than the energy consumption by 5 percentage points, It is certain that the energy consumption per unit of GDP rises.
Since the beginning of this year, the country’s electricity consumption has rapidly increased. In the first half of the year, the total social power consumption reached 2009 billion kwh, which was a year-on-year increase of 21.6%. Some provinces and cities have rapidly increased their electricity consumption, and the growth rate has even reached as high as 25-60%, but local reported unit GDP. Instead, energy consumption is decreasing.
This has led to the National Bureau of Statistics’s alertness against local energy-saving statistics. “We dare not say that the local authorities are really falsified, but at least the data do not match. How is the rapid increase in electricity consumption per unit of GDP, but the energy consumption per unit of GDP is declining?†said one person in the statistics department.
Contradictions between production capacity and electricity consumption According to figures released by the China Electricity Council and the National Energy Administration, the total social electricity consumption and industrial electricity consumption in September all fell sharply.
In the same month, the electricity consumption of the entire society was 349.8 billion kilowatt-hours, which was a decrease of 47.6 billion kwh from the previous month, a drop of 12%; the electricity consumption of the second industry was 244.5 billion kwh, a drop of 43.3 billion kwh from the previous month, a record of 11 years. Monthly electricity consumption in the single month has fallen to a new low; the monthly electricity consumption of heavy industry was 193.9 billion kilowatt hours, a decrease of 17.3% compared with the previous month.
Wang Siqiang, deputy director general of the National Energy Administration, believes that in September each year when electricity consumption falls seasonally, it also dropped by about 6% last year. The sharp fall in this year is mainly due to the fact that the absolute value of the fallback in the secondary industry accounted for 91% of the absolute value of the decline in electricity consumption in the entire society. Excluding seasonal factors, the increase in electricity consumption in heavy industry during the month was already lower than that in light industry, indicating that the economic structure was further optimized.
However, due to the fact that the output of industrial products in September has not seen much decline, and the speed of industrial growth is still accelerating after removing the base of last year, the actual electricity consumption in September may not have fallen to the above-mentioned range. When the China Iron and Steel Association recently conducted a map survey on local iron and steel production, it discovered that in some localities, iron and steel enterprises restricted their production to flow in the form, and during the day's limited production period, they accelerated production, and the government limited companies continued to produce electricity on their own.
Zhang Daikun, a joint metal wire industry analyst, also believes that because many steel plants have their own power production, the actual capacity decline is not very fast.
Data show that in September the country's crude steel production was 51.64 million tons, only a drop of more than 2.8 million tons from the previous month. At this rate, total production declined by about 10 million tons from September to December, less than half of the agency's projected output reduction.
In addition, the output of the high-energy-consuming industries in September announced by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicates that almost no reduction in production was found in the 10 non-ferrous industries, and the production of cement, automobiles, ferro-alloys, coke, and flat glass increased from August. The growth rate of cement reached 15.8% over the same period of last year, and the growth rate of flat glass production also reached 6.8%.
With regard to the rapid decline in industrial electricity consumption and the use of electricity in the entire society, there has been no significant drop in industrial products, and even a sharp increase in the number of contradictions. The industry's explanation is that many companies have not included statistics for their own standby power.
One electric power industry expert pointed out that in enterprises above designated size, self-provided electricity can be self-reported to the statistics bureau. As long as it is included in the network, it can be counted. However, off-grid self-provided electricity cannot be included in the electricity consumption of the entire society. "Because of the need to generate electricity for power generation, at the end of the year, this part of self-provided electricity statistics can be reflected in refined oil consumption."
There are indeed many companies that generate electricity from their own motors. Zhou Dewen, president of the Wenzhou SME Development Association, discovered that many private enterprises in Wenzhou had to adopt self-provided electricity to speed up production in order to complete orders. As the number of self-generating companies has increased, diesel has also begun to become tense, and many companies have had to purchase more expensive bargaining oil.
At present, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Hebei, Guangxi and other places, because of the difficulty of completing energy-saving tasks, have adopted measures to control the total amount of electricity used by enterprises, and even some residents in the area are also affected.
Data deviation?
The fundamental reason for the local power saving data since the first half of this year is that the measures taken to limit electricity in various places have led companies to generate electricity by themselves, and this has led to a reduction or conversion of power statistics.
In the first half of this year, the energy consumption per unit of GDP in each region fell relatively quickly, or the rate of decline was not large. However, it was strange that the power consumption per unit of GDP per unit of GDP was rising and it was increasing rapidly. This caused the National Bureau of Statistics to worry about "distortion" of local statistics.
"According to reason, the decline in energy consumption per unit of GDP, and the decline in power consumption per unit of GDP, should be consistent with the trend, and now many provinces are the opposite, even if it is not a data fraud, but there are problems with the data." An expert in the statistics department said .
It is reported that in the first half of this year, the growth rate of electricity consumption in the whole society reached 21.6%. The growth rate in the first three quarters of this year was more than 18%. Since the country’s economic growth during the first half of the first half of the year and the first three quarters were both not less than 12%, the country’s GDP per unit of electricity consumption has been rising since the beginning of the year, as has been the case across the country. The country also confirmed that energy consumption per unit of GDP rose in the first half of this year, rising by approximately 0.09%.
However, the local situation is not the same. Many provinces increase the electricity consumption of the entire society, and the energy consumption rate is actually lower than GDP, making the energy consumption per unit of GDP decrease. For example, Inner Mongolia, Henan, Shanxi, Chongqing, Hunan, Hebei, Gansu and other places, the whole society's electricity consumption rose between 20 and 40%, but the energy consumption per unit of GDP decreased by 1 to 4% year-on-year.
For this reason, the National Bureau of Statistics issued a document requesting that if the increase in the total amount of electricity used by local governments and the whole society exceeds the growth rate of energy consumption of the entire society by 5 percentage points, the country will directly determine the increase in energy consumption per 10,000 yuan of GDP in the region. This also caused a shock in almost all provinces. According to this standard, the above five provinces and cities should be judged as the increase in energy consumption per unit of GDP, rather than the decline announced.
However, the growth rate of electricity consumption in some provinces and cities is far faster than the growth rate of energy consumption, which does not lead to an increase in energy consumption per unit of GDP, nor does it necessarily mean that data is fraudulent. Xue Jing, director of the China Electricity Council’s Statistics Department, told reporters that the country’s entire society’s electricity consumption accounts for about 40% of the country’s primary energy consumption and does not account for a major proportion of energy. At the same time, in some provinces, electricity consumption accounts for a small proportion of total energy consumption. When the growth rate of electricity consumption is fast, the total energy consumption is slow, resulting in a decline in energy intensity is not impossible.
"The key is to look at specific provinces. In some provinces, coal consumption is large and the proportion of electricity consumption is small. In fact, energy consumption in these provinces is too fast, and environmental problems may be more prominent." Xue Jing said.
In fact, this mismatch between power consumption and energy consumption has been noticed in many places. Ling Yun, deputy director of the Zhejiang Provincial Economic and Information Commission, pointed out that in the first half of this year, the total social power consumption grew by 20.6%, which was 8.9 percentage points higher than the GDP growth rate. This not only led to a high growth rate of 10.6% of the province's total energy consumption, but also led to the unit GDP power consumption. Rose 8.0%. "The rapid growth in electricity use has become the most prominent contradiction in energy conservation and consumption reduction."
The vigilance of the energy-saving and combat-strengthening authorities for the reduction of local emission reductions or the rapid rise in energy consumption has not been reduced.
In the first three quarters of this year, significant progress was made in the energy conservation of major energy-intensive industries. For example, from January to September, the sum of the electricity consumption of the four major industries of chemical industry, building materials, black smelting, and non-ferrous metal smelting in the major industries accounted for 32.5% of the total electricity consumption in the society, which was lower than the proportion of 33.3% in the first five months. In September, the proportion fell to 31.4%.
However, Zhu Hongren, spokesperson of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, pointed out that despite the fact that the energy consumption of the high energy-consuming industries in the third quarter has been substantially controlled, “but the current situation of energy conservation and emission reduction cannot be taken lightlyâ€.
The fourth quarter of each year is when industrial energy consumption grows rapidly. “If the industrial energy consumption is not controlled, it will have an adverse effect on the task of completing the annual energy saving and emission reduction.â€
Local governments also place more emphasis on energy conservation. Lu Zhongqing, deputy director of the Electric Power Department of the Anhui Economic and Information Commission, told reporters that although Anhui will not curb power for all companies, it will implement power curtailment for high-energy-consuming industries in the fourth quarter. The purpose of this is to ensure that the "Eleventh Five-Year" energy-saving targets can be completed in the last three months of the fourth quarter.
Previously, according to the new electricity statistics requirements issued by the National Bureau of Statistics, Anhui estimates that the total electricity consumption of the entire society needs to be regulated in the fourth quarter, so that the total consumption of electricity for the entire year will be controlled at about 107.4 billion kWh. The year-on-year growth rate was within 13%. Since the total social power consumption in Anhui Province has increased by more than 18% from January to August this year, the pressure for energy saving has not been lightened.
Sichuan Province recently held a special working meeting on energy conservation and proposed to strictly control the growth of total electricity use, especially to limit the excessive growth of industrial electricity consumption. Strictly control the new high energy-consuming projects, and temporarily suspend production from the October of the highly-energy-consuming industrial projects that have been completed but have not yet been put into production. The provincial power companies and local grid enterprises at all levels have suspended power supply.
Wang Ning, vice governor of Sichuan Province, pointed out that this year is the year for the completion of the “Eleventh Five-Year†energy-saving and consumption-reduction target task. The energy-saving and consumption-reduction target task is a hard constraint, there is no room for bargaining, “the next biggest determination, the largest With the greatest efforts, we will make the greatest efforts to form a joint force, and we will make every effort to fight the energy-saving battles in the fourth quarter. We will unswervingly complete the energy-saving target mission and implement all energy-saving measures without hesitation."
Ye Qing, deputy director of the Hubei Bureau of Statistics, told reporters that the current national measures to use electricity to support energy conservation have achieved good results in energy conservation and emission reduction. The next step is how to turn this measure into a long-term mechanism for energy saving and emission reduction. Otherwise, By next year, local energy and the entire society will use electricity to speed up and will make a comeback.
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